AI-2027 report
- Superhuman coder On track
Forecasters on the Docket
A track record needs at least two settled claims, and nobody on the ledger has two yet. This page lists who is on the docket and what they predicted — not how they rank.
Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO)
- AI writes 90% of code Missed
Demis Hassabis (Google DeepMind CEO)
- Hassabis: AGI in 5–10 years On track
Eliezer Yudkowsky (bet vs. Paul Christiano)
- IMO gold medal Hit
Elon Musk
Geoffrey Hinton
- Radiologists obsolete Missed
Jensen Huang (Nvidia CEO)
- AI passes every human test by 2029 On track
Metaculus community forecast
- Weakly-general AI Pending
Ray Kurzweil
- Turing test passed by 2029 On track
Sam Altman (OpenAI CEO)
Yann LeCun (Meta Chief AI Scientist)
- LeCun: human-level AI a decade out On track