On track
A superhuman coder exists by end of 2027
On the record in AI 2027 (Kokotajlo, Alexander, Larsen, Lifland & Dean) · published Apr 2025
“Why we forecast a superhuman coder in early 2027”
- Claimed
- Apr 2025
- Deadline
- Dec 2027
AI-2027 report
Scenario forecast by the AI Futures Project
Not ranked yet: 0 settled · 1 forecast on the ledger
A forecaster is ranked once three of their forecasts have settled (hit or missed). Open and contested forecasts are not counted.
Who they are
AI 2027 is a research-backed AI scenario forecast and the first major release from the AI Futures Project. Daniel Kokotajlo, Eli Lifland, Thomas Larsen and Romeo Dean wrote the scenario and its endings.
Source: AI 2027 — About, checked 13 Oct 2026