On trackbenchmarksWithin five years (by early 2029), AI does well on every single test the computer-science industry can put in front of it
On track · due Mar 2029
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Coverage of standardized human tests at strong-pass level35/42 IMO 2025 score (gold-medal standard) (as of 2025-07-21)
Verified blind: GLM-5.2 + Grok — agree
How it's graded
Met if by March 2029 frontier AI systems achieve strong performance on essentially every standardized human test the field proposes (bar exams, medical boards, olympiads, etc.); failed if significant test categories remain unconquered
35/42IMO 2025 score (gold-medal standard)as of 2025-07-21
A single reading is not yet a trajectory. The figure appears once a second measurement lands.
Table view
| As of | Measured (IMO 2025 score (gold-medal standard)) | Receipt |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-21 | 35/42 | source |
Receipts · 3
solved five out of the six IMO problems perfectly, earning 35 total points
Google DeepMind — Gemini Deep Think at IMO 2025 archived↗ · 2025-07-21
They outperform experts on most exam-style problems for a fraction of the cost.
METR — Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Tasks archived↗ · 2025-03-19
"If I gave an AI… every single test that you can possibly imagine, you make that list of tests and put it in front of the computer science industry, and I'm guessing in five years time, we'll do well on every single one," Huang said.
Fox Business (Stanford SIEPR Economic Summit remarks) archived↗ · 2024-03-03
Primary sourceRecording: Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) archived↗ · 2024-03. The speaker’s own words are in the recording; the quote text above comes from the press report.
Ledger history
- 2026-08-16: Target date 2029-03 is in the future, so on-track/partial is the ceiling. Google DeepMind (deepmind.google, measurement) records an officially graded, gold-medal-standard 35/42 on IMO 2025 — one of…
- 2026-11-03: The verdict 'on-track' remains correct (target 2029-03 is in the future). A fresh read of the Google DeepMind source confirms the concrete IMO 2025 measurement of progress toward passing every test.
- 2026-11-05: Linked the primary source: the organiser’s recording of the talk (Stanford SIEPR). The quote text still comes from the press report in the receipts. Verdict unchanged.