← Forecasters
Sam Altman
OpenAI CEO
Not ranked yet: 1 settled · 1 forecast on the ledger
A forecaster is ranked once three of their forecasts have settled (hit or missed). Open and contested forecasts are not counted.
Who they are
Sam Altman is an American entrepreneur and investor who has been chief executive officer of the artificial intelligence company OpenAI since 2019. Earlier he co-founded Loopt, a geosocial networking app for smartphones.
Source: Wikipedia, checked 13 Oct 2026
How the forecast was made
✗ Missed
On the record in Sam Altman — Reflections (blog) · published Jan 2025
“We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it. We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output of companies.”
Original · Archived copy
- Claimed
- Jan 2025
- Deadline
- Dec 2025
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