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Geoffrey Hinton
Computer scientist, 2024 Nobel laureate in Physics
Not ranked yet: 1 settled · 1 forecast on the ledger
A forecaster is ranked once three of their forecasts have settled (hit or missed). Open and contested forecasts are not counted.
Who they are
Geoffrey Hinton is a London-born computer scientist who shared the 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics with John Hopfield “for foundational discoveries and inventions that enable machine learning with artificial neural networks”. At the time of the award he was affiliated with the University of Toronto.
Source: NobelPrize.org, checked 13 Oct 2026
How the forecast was made
✗ Missed
On the record in UAB Reporter (quoting Geoffrey Hinton, 2016) · published Dec 2022
“People should stop training radiologists now. It’s just completely obvious within five years deep learning is going to do better than radiologists”
Original · Archived copy
- Claimed
- 2016
- Deadline
- 2021
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