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Elon Musk
CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, founder of xAI
Not ranked yet: 1 settled · 1 forecast on the ledger
A forecaster is ranked once three of their forecasts have settled (hit or missed). Open and contested forecasts are not counted.
Who they are
Elon Musk is a businessman and the chief executive officer and largest shareholder of Tesla and SpaceX. In July 2023 he launched the artificial intelligence company xAI.
Source: Wikipedia, checked 13 Oct 2026
How the forecast was made
✗ Missed
On the record in The Guardian · published 9 Apr 2024
““My guess is that we’ll have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year,” Musk said in a livestreamed interview on his social network X.”
Original · Archived copy
- Claimed
- Apr 2024
- Deadline
- Dec 2025
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