On tracktimelinesAI reaches human-level intelligence and passes the Turing test by 2029
On track · due 2029
3 receiptsOpen verificationClose▾
Rigorous adversarial Turing-test passunknown — no accepted rigorous adversarial Turing-test pass on record
Verified blind: GLM-5.2 + Grok — agree
How it's graded
Met if before end of 2029 an AI passes a rigorous adversarial Turing test (expert judges, extended sessions) or an equivalent accepted human-level-intelligence demonstration; failed otherwise
Receipts · 3
solved five out of the six IMO problems perfectly, earning 35 total points
Google DeepMind — Advanced Gemini Deep Think at IMO 2025 archived↗ · 2025-07-21
They outperform experts on most exam-style problems for a fraction of the cost.
METR — Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Tasks archived↗ · 2025-03-19
I have stayed consistent. So 2029, both for human-level intelligence and for artificial general intelligence (AGI) – which is a little bit different.
The Guardian / Observer (Kurzweil interview) archived↗ · 2024-06-29
Ledger history
- 2026-08-17: Target date 2029 is in the future, so the verdict is capped at on-track/partial. Two recognized-domain evidence items with different origin_orgs (>=1 measurement) document concrete positive progress…