AI Forecast Ledger

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Mozilla report: cheap open Chinese models trail US frontier by about four months

arstechnica.com · 2026-09-16

An Ars-previewed Mozilla report estimates paying for frontier AI models buys roughly a 4-month capability head start at 5x the cost. Relevant to how quickly frontier capabilities diffuse.

“Ars previewed Mozilla’s report on how cheap open models caught up on capability.”

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